Harriet P. Mintz1,2,3, Claire Amos3, Rachael Brannan4, Christopher Brawley3, Joanna Calvert3, Melissa R. Gannon5, Luke Hounsome4, Fiona C. Ingleby3, Sean McPhail4, Mahesh KB Parmar3, Prashant Patel2,6, Helen Parsons1, Mary Rauchenberger3, Matthew R. Sydes3, Haiyan Wu7, Nicholas D. James2,6, the STAMPEDE trial group
1 Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, England; 2 University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, England; 3 MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, London, England; 4 Public Health England, London, England; 5 London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, England;
6 Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, England, 7 HDR UK, UCL, London, England
Acronym |
Description |
Doc |
Docetaxel |
(m) HSPC |
(metastatic) Hormone-sensitive prostate cancer |
CPRC |
Castrate-resistant prostate cancer |
HES |
Hospital Episode Statistics |
SACT |
Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy dataset |
Table 1: Acronym descriptions.
Docetaxel (Doc) was initially licenced for CRPC (TAX327) but more recently trials showed Doc at HSPC diagnosis improved survival, shifting patterns of use. Higher neutropenic toxicity rates were reported in the HSPC trials, but it is unclear if this was due to the Doc timing or differences in case-mix. We compared sepsis rates for Doc at HSPC and CRPC using routine NHS data for men randomised in STAMPEDE in England.
STAMPEDE patient data were linked to routine NHS data (Hospital Episode Statistics: HES; Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy: SACT). Patient note review (ref) linked to NHS data assessed admission rates by HSPC & CRPC Doc at 1 site (N=44) and were used to develop and validate algorithms for detecting sepsis events across the entire data set. Algorithms were restricted to sepsis-only & sepsis + neutropenia (S+N) (N=3642). Missing HES CRPC Doc regimens were imputed (inferred) with HES (N=3642) or enhanced with SACT (N=1573). Odds ratios (OR) were calculated for risk of sepsis (OR < 1 = lower risk for HSPC).
Sepsis rates varied by method; for most, rates at CRPC were higher than in TAX327 but similar to or higher than reported STAMPEDE HSPC data.
This analysis does not support the hypothesis that HSPC Doc has a higher sepsis risk than Doc use in CRPC. Sepsis rates found using routine data were higher than in the TAX327 trial but similar to reported “real world” CRPC data. Rates varied by data-identification method used; for most, CRPC sepsis rates were higher or similar to HSPC rates & overall a little higher than the reported STAMPEDE HSPC rate. These data suggest CRPC Doc has a similar or higher sepsis rate than use in HSPC & this should be factored into discussions for men with newly-diagnosed metastatic HSPC and supports Doc use in this setting.
Sepsis defined as:
Severe events: admission with infection e.g. febrile neutropenia, neutropenic sepsis, infection with neutropenia, neutropenia grade 3+, pyrexia, pneumonia and infection
Data source |
Events of interest |
Clinical noting data |
Admission for suspected sepsis event by timing of docetaxel (further indicator: antibiotic prescription) |
Routine data*: HES [1] SACT [2] |
Admission for suspected sepsis event (sepsis-only or sepsis + neutropenia-only) by timing of chemotherapy •CRPC chemo: HES & SACT •HSPC & CRPC sepsis admissions: HES |
STAMPEDE [3] data |
•HSPC chemotherapy •Adverse events: Febrile neutropenia grade 1+, neutropenia grade 3+ due to HSPC docetaxel |
Table 2: Events of interest identified during the analyses. * = In the absence of STAMPEDE data, routine data was used to identify HSPC and CRPC sepsis admissions & CRPC chemo regimens.
STAMPEDE patients in England
4 cohorts (N=44, 113, 1573, 3642) (1-2: single-site, 3-4: multi-site)
Figure 1: The STAMPEDE trial (treatment arms A-G). Figure adapted from the STAMPEDE protocol, for further details see the protocol [3].
Eligible patients for the HES analyses used in addition to the SACT cohort (cohort 1,2,4) (randomised 15-Nov-2005 – 17-Jan-2014) |
|
Restricted cohort 3 due to limited SACT data (randomised 01-April-2012 – 17-Jan-2014) |
Chemotherapy use
Figure 2: Accuracy of detecting HSPC and CRPC chemo regimens compared to the clinical noting.
Sepsis admission events (all events)
Figure 3: Accuracy of detecting sepsis admissions. A) vs. STAMPEDE; B) vs. clinical noting.
HSPC |
CRPC |
% difference |
|||
N |
% |
N |
% |
||
Reference |
2/15 |
13 |
6/22 |
27 |
-14 |
HES (routine data) |
|||||
1. Sepsis-only |
69/832 |
8 |
114/1182 |
10 |
-2 |
2. All events |
134/832 |
16 |
148/1182 |
13 |
3 |
3. All events + inferral |
134/832 |
16 |
489/1350 |
36 |
-20 |
4. All events + SACT |
41/200 |
21 |
60/297 |
20 |
1 |
STAMPEDE |
|||||
Trial |
83/832 |
10 |
NR |
NR |
- |
Table 3: Rates of sepsis events identified. NR = not reported; % difference = HSPC – CRPC rate.
Figure 4: Forest plot graphically displaying table 3. Cohort 3, N=1573; cohort 4, N=3642.
Routine data limitations mean each individual variable should be validated for accuracy & completeness prior to use
Rates varied by method (different rates identified using different models) but for most, relapse sepsis rates were ↑ or similar to upfront rates
The upfront routine data sepsis rates were overall ↑ than case report form upfront rates (under-reporting?)
Routine data relapse sepsis rates were ↑ than TAX-327 but similar to ‘real world’ relapse data [4]
Overall, analysis does not support a ↑ upfront (HSPC) docetaxel sepsis risk vs. the CRPC setting
This evidence supports upfront HSPC docetaxel use. This should factor into discussions for men with newly-diagnosed mHSPC
@HattieMintz on Twitter
Harriet Mintz has no COI to declare & the study was funded by Warwick Medical School
[1] Hospital Episode Statistics - NHS Digital [ONLINE] Available: http://content.digital.nhs.uk/hes [Accessed: 04 Sept. 2019]
[2] Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy dataset - National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service [ONLINE] Available: http://www.ncin.org.uk/collecting_and_using_data/data_collection/chemotherapy [Accessed: 04 Sept. 2019]
[3] Systemic therapy in Advancing or Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Evaluation of Drug Efficacy, A multi-arm multi-stage randomised controlled trial. The protocol [ONLINE] Available: http://www.stampedetrial.org
[4] Templeton A, Vera-Badillo F, Wang L, Attalla M, De Gouveia P, Leibowitz-Amit R, et al. Translating clinical trials to clinical practice: outcomes of men with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer treated with docetaxel and prednisone in and out of clinical trials. Annals of oncology. 2013;24(12):2972-7.
N.B: 3 further pts may be eligible for inclusion pending review of consent